World Cup Hub

Predictions

AI-powered predictions for the football World Cup 2026. Tournament winner probabilities, Golden Boot contenders, and group stage forecasts — all generated by our prediction models.

Who Will Win the World Cup?

Model-generated win probabilities for the top 10 contenders. Odds shown in American format.

Team
Probability
Odds
Win probability (higher = more likely)
+600Click odds to bet on bet365
bet365

Golden Boot Race

Top scorers to watch — who will take home the Golden Boot?

Player
Odds
1
Kylian MbappeFrance
2
Harry KaneEngland
3
Lionel MessiArgentina
4
Erling HaalandNorway
5
Lamine YamalSpain
6
Mikel OyarzabalSpain
7
Cristiano RonaldoPortugal
8
Ousmane DembeleFrance
9
Lautaro MartinezArgentina
10
Vinicius Jr.Brazil
Click odds to bet on bet365. 21+. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.bet365

Group Stage Predictions

Favored top 2 qualifiers from each of the 12 groups

Favored to qualify
Key storyline

Group A

🏆 +4000
Mexico1st+8000
South Korea2nd+50000

Host nation Mexico backed by home crowd at Azteca

Group B

🏆 +2500
Switzerland1st+8000
Canada2nd+15000

Host nation Canada looking for a knockout debut

Group C

🏆 +650
Brazil1st+800
Morocco2nd+5000

Morocco's 2022 semifinal run makes them a dark horse

Group D

🏆 +5000
USA1st+6600
Paraguay2nd+15000

Hosts USA with home advantage but Paraguay battle-tested

Group E

🏆 +900
Germany1st+1200
Ecuador2nd+10000

Ecuador's speed and physicality a real threat

Group F

🏆 +1500
Netherlands1st+2000
Japan2nd+5000

Japan's consistency makes them a dangerous opponent

Group G

🏆 +2500
Belgium1st+3300
Egypt2nd+30000

Salah-led Egypt eyeing an upset

Group H

🏆 +400
Spain1st+450
Uruguay2nd+6600

Group of death — Spain vs Uruguay headline clash

Group I

🏆 +500
France1st+500
Norway2nd+2500

Haaland's Norway can challenge the favorites

Group J

🏆 +650
Argentina1st+800
Austria2nd+15000

Defending champs expected to dominate

Group K

🏆 +900
Portugal1st+1100
Colombia2nd+3300

Ronaldo's final World Cup meets a hungry Colombia

Group L

🏆 +450
England1st+600
Croatia2nd+8000

Two 2018 semifinalists meet again

Our win probability model analyzes historical World Cup performance, current FIFA rankings, squad strength, and recent form to generate win probabilities for all 48 teams. Odds are sourced live from bet365 and updated regularly.

Last updated:

Predictions Disclaimer

Predictions are AI-generated for entertainment purposes only. They do not constitute betting advice, and past model performance does not guarantee future results. Probabilities and odds are derived from statistical models and may not reflect actual bookmaker lines.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org for free, confidential support. Must be 21+ to wager. Please gamble responsibly.